Science of The Total Environment
Top medRxiv preprints most likely to be published in this journal, ranked by match strength.
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Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) is an effective surveillance approach for monitoring viruses of public health relevance at the community level, complementing clinical surveillance systems. Molecular methods such as PCR/qPCR are widely used for targeted detection, while next-generation sequencing (NGS) with targeted enrichment panels has emerged as a complementary strategy for broader viral detection and genomic characterization. This study comparatively evaluated conventional PCR/qPCR and a ...
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Wastewater-based surveillance (WBS) is widely used to monitor respiratory viruses, yet uncertainties remain regarding how viral RNA concentrations in wastewater reflect infection dynamics. Specifically, diurnal variation in shedding and RNA losses during in-sewer transport can impact measured signals. We conducted a field study in a 5-km trunk sewer (travel time of one hour). Wastewater was sampled at the sewer inlet and outlet using autosamplers collecting time-proportional one-hour composite s...
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Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a growing problem, with annual deaths set to pass 10 million by 2050 if current trends continue. Wastewater surveillance has been proposed as a strategy to understand population-level resistance, and water reclamation facilities (WRFs) have been identified as a control point for environmental dissemination of resistant bacteria. Understanding dynamics of AMR across WRFs requires advanced molecular tools that elucidate host bacteria, especially for mobile resista...
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Wastewater monitoring enables non-invasive, population-scale tracking of community infections independent of healthcare-seeking behavior and clinical diagnosis. Metagenomic sequencing extends this capability by enabling broad, pathogen-agnostic detection, genomic characterization, and identification of novel or unexpected threats. Here, we present data from CASPER (the Coalition for Agnostic Sequencing of Pathogens from Environmental Reservoirs), a U.S.-based wastewater metagenomic sequencing ne...
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Antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs) circulating among clinically relevant bacteria pose serious challenges to public health. Given the ancient and environmental bacterial origins of ARGs, a better understanding of the carriers of ARGs beyond the clinically most relevant species is urgently needed for more farsighted resistance monitoring and intervention measures. While the risks of emerging ARGs from environmental sources have been recognized, the identification bottlenecks stem from the limitat...
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Hepatitis E virus (HEV) is considered a predominantly foodborne pathogen in developed settings. During COVID-19 lockdown periods, however, HEV concentrations in wastewater at a treatment plant in Munich, Germany decreased, suggesting that pandemic-related behaviour changes inadvertently influenced transmission. In contrast, reported cases and wastewater data from a smaller catchment showed no comparable decline. To assess whether the observed reduction is compatible with a near-exclusively foodb...
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We present findings from the first known pilot study of transatlantic airplane wastewater monitoring, conducted over six months at two connected international airports in the United States and the United Kingdom. This study demonstrates the feasibility of implementing bilateral wastewater-based pathogen surveillance at international travel hubs. We outline the operational and analytical methodologies employed, highlight key challenges encountered in transnational coordination, and provide recomm...
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Accurate quantification of individual exposure to air pollutants remains a major challenge in environmental health, as fixed-site monitoring fails to account for mobility, indoor environments, and physiological variability. We deployed TracMyAir, a smartphone-based digital health platform designed to generate time-resolved, personalized exposure and inhaled dose estimates for PM2.5 and ozone under real-world conditions. In an exploratory study of 18 adults contributing more than 1,500 participan...
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Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in ESKAPE pathogens represents a major global health threat. Although these organisms are well established as causes of healthcare-associated infections, aquatic environments may function as reservoirs and transmission pathways for resistance. This systematic review aimed to estimate the prevalence of AMR in ESKAPE pathogens isolated from water and wastewater and to compare resistance patterns with those observed in human clinical isolates. The review followed PRIS...
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Measles outbreaks have surged globally in recent years, but current surveillance systems have limited capacity to monitor measles virus (MeV) transmission and evolution at population scale. Although MeV can be detected in wastewater, the public health potential of wastewater genomic surveillance for MeV remains largely unexplored. Here, we deploy sensitive, low-cost MeV wastewater genomic surveillance combining virus concentration, whole-genome amplicon sequencing, and bioinformatic analysis alo...
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Despite the relevance of spatial mapping in analyzing the health situation and understanding the risk factors and determinants of leptospirosis, peripheral urban communities often remain invisible on maps, which tend to use data and methods that do not express community contribution nor promote local participation. Furthermore, in the implementation of sanitation interventions, the same happens: there is limited user participation, and a lack of identification of intervention needs based on the...
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IntroductionAtmospheric conditions under climate change increase pressure on healthcare systems. Especially, the intensive care units (ICU) are vulnerable due to low buffer capacity and high utilization rates. MethodsDaily ICU cases from 2009 to 2023 were derived from the German statutory health insurance data of eleven regional AOK insurances. Cases were stratified by age and sex. Generalized additive models were used to investigate the associations between daily ICU cases and lagged atmospher...
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Infectious disease forecasts can inform public health decision-making. Wastewater monitoring is a relatively new epidemiological data source with multiple potential applications, including forecasting. Incorporating wastewater data into epidemiological forecasting models is challenging, and relatively few studies have assessed whether this improves forecast performance. We present and evaluate a semi-mechanistic wastewater-informed forecasting model. The model forecasts COVID-19 hospital admissi...
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The co-occurrence of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in industrial environments poses complex toxicological risks that standard additive models fail to capture. This study elucidates a novel "metabolic blockade" mechanism wherein PFAS competitively inhibits the renal excretion of VOC metabolites, thereby amplifying neurotoxic burdens. Utilizing a Double Machine Learning (DML) framework on data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey ...
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BackgroundAir pollution is a potentially modifiable risk factor for dementia with a population attributable risk fraction of 3%. Little is known about the causal mechanisms behind the association, so we aimed to investigate this. MethodsData from the UK Biobank were used to investigate the association between six measures of air pollution (NO2, NOx, PM2{middle dot}5-10, PM2{middle dot}5, PM2{middle dot}5 absorbance and PM10) and dementia incidence. Indirect pathways through four mediators (card...
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BackgroundEnvironment-wide association studies (ExWAS) offer a systematic approach to identifying chemical biomarker-health outcome associations, yet few have applied rigorous multi-stage validation. MethodsWe screened 92 chemical biomarkers against 48 health outcomes in NHANES 2017-2018 (2,796 tests across four screening rounds; not all chemicals were crossed with all outcomes). Associations passing an initial FDR screen were subjected to cross-cycle validation in NHANES 2015-2016--the primary...
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Food costs are more significantly impacted by climate change as countries grow. It is well known that climate change has an impact on the productivity of most agricultural goods, but it is unclear how specifically it will affect food costs. The present research explores how the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index, a widely used climate indicator, affects food prices around the world. This is achieved by applying a robust bivariate Hurst exponent (robust bHe). The research creates a color map ...
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Wastewater is increasingly being recognized as an important data stream that can contribute to infectious disease surveillance and forecasting. With this recognition, a growing number of statistical inference approaches are being developed to use wastewater data to provide quantitative insights into epidemiological dynamics. However, few existing approaches have allowed for systematic integration of data streams for inference, for example by combining case incidence data and/or serological data ...
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BackgroundDengue outbreaks have become a severe threat to Bangladesh as the infections and mortality numbers are skyrocketing in recent years. Favorable environmental and anthropogenic conditions have established the capital of Bangladesh, Dhaka city as the epicenter of dengue outbreak. Studies have showed that climate change induced extreme weather events are exacerbating Aedes mosquito breeding and dengue virus transmission conditions. Methodology/Principal FindingsIn this study, short-term (...
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Introduction Heat waves are increasingly frequent and linked to higher mortality risks in Hong Kong. However, estimates of total excess mortality associated with heat waves remain unavailable. This study quantifies excess deaths associated with heat waves in Hong Kong from 2014 to 2023. Methods Daily age- and sex-specific mortality rates and population data were obtained from the Hong Kong Life Tables and Census and Statistics Department. Temperature data came from the Hong Kong Observatory, and...